Infrastructure : Over US$ 250 billion of investment needed in 5 years
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OVERVIEW | OPPORTUNITIES

Total estimated investment opportunity of US$ 25-30 billion by 2010    photograph of Oil-rig

Petroleum & Natural Gas

 

OVERVIEW

SIZE

  • Petroleum & Natural Gas constitutes over 15% of GDP and includes transportation, refining and marketing of petroleum products and gas
    • Revenue of over US$130 billion in FY 07
  • India has a crude oil refining capacity of about 135 MMT
  • Natural gas demand is estimated of 159 MMSCMD (2007-08) with domestic supply of about 80 MMSCMD and import of about 18 MMSCMD resulting in huge unmet demand
  • Production of petroleum products expected to grow at a CAGR of 9% p.a. over the next 5 years
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STRUCTURE

  • Public sector companies play a major role in oil refineries, oil and gas pipelines and gasoline retail outlets
    • Indian Oil Corporation and its subsidiaries control over 40% of India’s refining capacity and own/franchise most gasoline retail outlets
    • Gas Authority of India Ltd. (GAIL) owns and operates a large gas grid
  • Reliance Industries and Essar Group are the major Indian Private sector participants
    • Reliance Petroleum is setting a export-oriented 27 MMTPA grassroot refinery at Jamnagar - the single largest grassroot refinery in the world
  • Shell has invested in refining and retail; British Gas has invested in city gas distribution
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POLICY

  • 100% FDI is allowed in petroleum refining, petroleum product and gas pipelines and marketing/retail through the automatic route
  • Virtual administrative price control of government over most petroleum products
  • Petroleum and Natural Gas Regulatory Board Bill has been enacted
    • A Regulatory Board has been constituted
  • Natural Gas Pipeline Policy has been constituted to delineate policy and promote competition
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Major players and presence in value chain
Company Revenue
($ billion)
FY 07
Upstream Midstream -Pipelines

Downstream

       
Refining
Retail Outlets
Public Sector          
IOC 50.8
BPCL 26.9  
HPCL 22.1  
ONGC 15.2
Domestic Private Players
Reliance Industries 27.2
International Private Players
Shell (FY 06) 355.8      
British Gas (Centrica)
(FY 06)
32.9    
Cairn Energy (FY 06) 0.29      
Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy – 2007, Capitaline Fortune, Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas, Government of India.

Source: Directorate General of Hydrocarbons, Ministry of Petroleum & Natural Gas, BP Statistical Review of World Energy

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OPPORTUNITY

Over 75 MMT of additional refining capacity planned
to be added by 2012
 
Large growth projected in fuel retail
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OUTLOOK

  • High GDP growth rate, rapidly growing vehicle population and better road infrastructure will drive consumption of petroleum products
    • Industry is expected to have CAGR of about 12%
    • Over 92 MMT of additional refining capacity planned by 2012
  • Over 100 MMSCMD of additional demand for Natural Gas in the next 4 years
    • Recent gas finds and increased use of gas for power generation, petrochemicals, fertilisers and city gas distribution
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POTENTIAL

  • Several areas of unexploited potential, including:
    • City gas distribution
    • LNG (import) infrastructure – terminals, regasification, pipelines to industrial consumers
  • Growing demand-supply mismatch provides opportunities for investment in the entire value chain for petroleum (refining, product pipelines, storage and retail) and Natural Gas
  • Investment need of US$22 billion and US$15 billion estimated in refining and the marketing and gas transportation network respectively by 2012
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For additional information: Ministry of Petroleum & Natural Gas (http://petroleum.nic.in)

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